Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 25%. Yes opened at 50% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 56% on 4 May 2026 and the low 25% on 6 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 38% on 5 May 2026. $2.05K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 12:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 2 May 2026 – 6 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 May 2026 | 25.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HerrieDavis | No | 135 |
| Suirenzirou | No | 100 |
| C9206777 | No | 29.73 |
| PMX-MXW123 | No | 12.57 |
| MM-CT | No | 9.99 |
| MaeB | No | 7.41 |
| Frequent-Protection | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of May 4 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-xauusd-hit-week-of-may-4-2026
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