
Resolved Yes on 7 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 5.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 7 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 5 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 3.5% on 2 Aug 2026. $40.23K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 8, 2:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 7 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jeromebenz | No | 3.08K |
| thecurve | No | 1.74K |
| PippiTrader | No | 398.99 |
| FXC | No | 309.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 3 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-xauusd-hit-week-of-august-3-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 200 |
| szakal | No | 192.01 |
| maxev | No | 179.99 |
| CHAIN-1993 | No | 112.2 |
| cabbag | No | 110 |
| Corrupt-Lark | No | 103.33 |