Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 239 daily closes on record from 26 Nov 2025 to 19 Aug 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 5.5% on 27 Nov 2025. $83.09K traded over the market's life.
97 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 20, 6:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 239 points, 26 Nov 2025 – 19 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 19 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 363.7K |
| Trump2028 | Yes | 51.09K |
| intermester | Yes | 10K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republican-nominee-for-florida-governor
| Harmonious-Variant | Yes | 5K |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 3.78K |
| merod | Yes | 2.64K |
| balthazar | Yes | 2.55K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 2.08K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.92K |
| Perfect-Neighbourhood | Yes | 1.53K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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