Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 14 Aug 2026, the price held at 0.5%. $6.86K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 14 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 132.42K |
| NyetRisk | Yes | 18.9K |
| oneAce | Yes | 9K |
| Bobic | Yes | 1.53K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303
| merod | Yes | 951.3 |
| cash-machine | Yes | 900 |
| Sleepyfan | Yes | 744.04 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 700 |
| korda77 | Yes | 683.08 |
| betterfasterstronger | Yes | 537.6 |
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