Resolved No on 4 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 44% on 5 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2026 to 4 Sep 2026, the highest close was 75% on 31 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 4 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 61 points down, to 14% on 1 Sep 2026. $9.02K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 5 Aug 2026 – 4 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | 44.0% |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.16K |
| balthazar | Yes | 699.55 |
| Menacing-Revitalization-Anorak | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Alex Warren's new album 'Wildchild' is expected to release August 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Alex Warren's album 'Wildchild', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Wildchild' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alex-warren-wildchild-first-week-album-sales-20260804154139164
| Yes |
| 83.34 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 80 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 65 |
| monoclith | Yes | 50 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 22.42 |
| scale2 | Yes | 20 |
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