Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 18% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 12 Aug 2026, the highest close was 18.5% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 4 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 13.5% on 5 Aug 2026. $4.59K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 13, 10:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 12 Aug 2026, chart shows 5%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 18.0% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 389.6 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 60.3 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 53 |
| Ninetothe9th | Yes | 36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Rainbow Six Siege tournament at the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC 2026), currently scheduled for August 4, 2026 to August 15, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ewc-2026-rainbow-six-siege-winner-20260727192210255
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 35.25 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| korda77 | Yes | 28 |
| 48moneymaker | Yes | 20 |
| Haradwaith | No | 0.02 |
| mishozu | Yes | 0.01 |
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