Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 14 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 65 daily closes on record from 14 May 2026 to 17 Jul 2026, the highest close was 83% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 35% on 21 May 2026. $19.81K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 11:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 14 May 2026 – 17 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 | 45.0% |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Last-Stepson | Yes | 1.37K |
| Dimer | Yes | 1.11K |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot. If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/candidates-in-next-labour-leadership-election
| Yes |
| 135.34 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| JohnLennon | Yes | 77.9 |
| wisestwol | Yes | 66.18 |
| OmarLittl | Yes | 46.88 |
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 29.76 |
| HappyHippocampus | Yes | 25 |
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