Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49% on 12 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 113 daily closes on record from 12 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49% on 12 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 2.5% on 13 Sep 2025. $703.92K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 3:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 113 points, 12 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2025 | 49.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 51.45K |
| qqqq88888 | Yes | 4.7K |
| JOB.S | Yes | 2.79K |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2025, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/richest-person-on-december-31
| Yes |
| 2K |
| Falylma | Yes | 2K |
| 04045 | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 815.56 |
| mJWIdLPFna | Yes | 511 |
| mshcpx | Yes | 480 |
| scherlockhomes | Yes | 424.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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