Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be greater than 21m?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 24, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$21.7K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 24, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 24 Jun 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 10 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 10 Apr 2025 to 24 Jun 2025, the highest close was 32.5% on 10 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 0.5% on 30 Apr 2025. $21.7K traded over the market's life.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 26, 12:24 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 10 Apr 2025 – 24 Jun 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Apr 2025	32.5%
24 Jun 2025	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	16.29K
Gooberpicker	Yes	1.49K
Vicleroux	Yes	544.93

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the number of votes cast in the 2025 Canadian federal election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Validated Results of the election, released by Elections Canada, released shortly after the election (see: https://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?dir=rep%2Foff&document=index&lang=e&section=res&utm#44GE). If these results are contested or otherwise unreleased, this market will remain open until official voting results are published.