Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 22 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 330 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2023 to 16 Jul 2024, the highest close was 52.5% on 5 Feb 2024 and the lowest 4.5% on 12 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 6.5% on 16 Apr 2024. $4.21K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 9:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 330 points, 22 Aug 2023 – 16 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2023 | 12.5% |
| 16 Jul 2024 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shantaram | Yes | 277.78 |
| P K | Yes | 33.33 |
| Techatrekka | Yes | 10.47 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republican-vp-nominee-sm
| archaic | No | 0.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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