Will Venezuela win Pool D at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 12, 2026 UTC

Topic roomVenezuela

Where it stands

Resolved No on 12 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 65%. Yes opened at 31% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 12 Mar 2026, the highest close was 35% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 19.5% on 8 Mar 2026.

26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 13, 3:45 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 12 Mar 2026, chart shows 15%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 Mar 2026	31.0%
12 Mar 2026	35.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.84K
zhanglu	Yes	967.7
cry.eth2	Yes	139.5
mdgc	Yes	105

10 of 26 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Pool D at the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition. If multiple teams tie as pool winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 World Baseball Classic. If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/world-baseball-classic); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.