Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 10% on 31 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 10.4% on 18 Oct 2025 and the low 0.2% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.6 points up, to 10.4% on 18 Oct 2025. $92.94K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 337 points, 31 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2025 | 10.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| babushka29 | Yes | 3.4K |
| straussian | Yes | 2.06K |
| io3 | Yes | 1.15K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuela commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Guyana between January 29 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Venezuela, Guyana, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-venezuela-invade-guyana-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| alilili1 | Yes | 1K |
| Duche | Yes | 861.59 |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 599.99 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 189.99 |
| VictoryGod | Yes | 163.33 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 150 |
| Fortunate-Fingerling | Yes | 131.83 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
