What is the “Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 1.1¢ and No at 98.9¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 1.1% for Yes and 98.9% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading ended on Jan 1, 2026 UTC. The venue has not yet reported the resolution, so the market is shown as awaiting resolution rather than resolved.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Variational officially launches a governance token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational (https://x.com/variational_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($6.98K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$3.82K
No buy at 99.8%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Sep 25, 4:28 PM UTC
Vultax loaded 41 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 68.8% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 25, 4:27 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-variational-launch-a-token-in-2025) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
