Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 31% on 31 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 19 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 32% on 27 Sep 2025. $39.28K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 157 points, 31 Jul 2025 – 2 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2025 | 31.0% |
| 2 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wiper0 | Yes | 1.85K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 330 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 280 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDT marketcap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for USDT, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data. The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page. This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-usdt-market-cap-hit-by-december-31
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 269 |
| TOPSKYCRYPTO | Yes | 248.1 |
| HULK | Yes | 210 |
| A12026 | Yes | 167.62 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165.99 |
| BigUls | Yes | 146.19 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 134 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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