Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81.5%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 4 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2025 to 7 Jul 2025, the highest close was 30.5% on 4 Jul 2025 and the lowest 18.5% on 7 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 18.5% on 7 Jul 2025. $12.11K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 8, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 4 Jul 2025 – 7 Jul 2025, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2025 | 30.5% |
| 7 Jul 2025 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| footballmoneymaker | Yes | 502.5 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 426 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Gold Cup Final match, scheduled for July 6 at 7:00 PM ET between USA and Mexico.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gold-cup-final-usa-vs-mexico-regulation-time
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