Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92%. Yes opened at 71.5% on 21 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 75 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2023 to 4 Mar 2024, the highest close was 92% on 14 Feb 2024 and the lowest 23.5% on 3 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 69 points up, to 92% on 4 Mar 2024. $244.34K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 6:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 21 Dec 2023 – 4 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2023 | 71.5% |
| 4 Mar 2024 | 92.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HarvardInsider | No | 512.93 |
| RollerCoaster | No | 367.25 |
| tipsyshanghai | No | 86.96 |
On Dec 19 the Colorado Supreme Court voted in a 4-3 decision that Trump was barred from appearing on Colorado’s 2024 presidential primary ballot. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Supreme Court overturns Colorado Supreme Court’s decision - namely they assert Trump can indeed appear on Colorado’s Presidential Primary ballot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Note that this market will resolve immediately based on the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision on this case. If the U.S. Supreme Court makes no decision by March 5, 2024, the date of Colorado’s Republican State Primary, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of whether Trump ends up on the ballot by other mechanisms. This market will immediately resolve to "No" if the U.S. Supreme Court does not take up the case. The resolution source is official information from the U.S. Supreme Court, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-us-supreme-court-vote-to-reinstate-trump-on-colorados-2024-ballot
| No |
| 12.81 |
| neo_evan | No | 8.77 |
| czarja | Yes | 0.03 |
| F66E | Yes | 0.02 |
| zollar | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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