Will US gain less than 200k jobs in March?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 5, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$29.6K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 5, 2024 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 5 Apr 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 59.5%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 12 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2024 to 5 Apr 2024, the highest close was 41.5% on 12 Mar 2024 and the lowest 31% on 31 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 40.5% on 5 Apr 2024. $29.55K traded over the market's life.

1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 12 Mar 2024 – 5 Apr 2024, chart shows 25%–45%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Mar 2024	41.5%
5 Apr 2024	40.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	4K

1 of 1 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules