Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 22% on 8 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 8 Jun 2024 to 5 Jul 2024, the highest close was 28% on 25 Jun 2024 and the lowest 17.5% on 22 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 28% on 25 Jun 2024. $14.05K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 9:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 8 Jun 2024 – 5 Jul 2024, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2024 | 22.0% |
| 5 Jul 2024 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.13K |
| kjhgkhfjkhfj | Yes | 0.05 |
| HJDGHKGJK | Yes | 0.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 272,000 in May 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains less than 150,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for June, scheduled to be released on July 5, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-june
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