Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 40% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 4 Sep 2026, the highest close was 40% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 4.2% on 26 Jul 2026. $683.93 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 4, 8:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 4 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 40.0% |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 475.8 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| JOSHUAphiri | Yes | 87.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-highest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party’s candidates, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/zambia-national-assembly-election-2nd-place-20260722145521018
| Yes |
| 65.67 |
| Yoelly | Yes | 24.39 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 15.32 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Chizupa | Yes | 14.93 |
| Mojito9 | No | 0.31 |
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