Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 25% on 9 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 40% on 11 Sep 2026 and the low 1.6% on 25 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 21% on 12 Sep 2026. $864.49 traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 26, 2:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 25 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 25.0% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 548.53 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.9 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 29.36 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/university-of-michigan-consumer-sentiment-september-2026
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 13.98 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |
| egrsafvafvaer | Yes | 5 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 |
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