Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 17 Sep 2026 and the low 0.1% on 3 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 21% on 22 Sep 2026. $425.36 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 6:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 16 Sep 2026 – 3 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 150 |
| jfkjdfj3 | Yes | 20 |
| gogogo-v3 | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| ShoyoFekir | Yes | 4.55 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team qualifies for the Playoffs stage of VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026). A team is considered to have qualified for the Playoffs once it is officially confirmed as one of the Playoffs participants, regardless of its subsequent Playoffs results. If a team qualifies and later withdraws or is replaced, this market will still resolve to "Yes" for that team. If the Group Stage format or the number of Playoffs qualifiers is changed, this market will resolve according to the teams that officially advance to the Playoffs stage under the format actually used. If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Playoffs participants have not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/valorant-champions-2026-team-to-make-playoffs
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