Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2026 to 13 Jun 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 19.6% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.2 points up, to 9.7% on 29 Apr 2026. $16.17K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 13, 11:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 5 Mar 2026 – 13 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 9.5% |
| 13 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| asezer | Yes | 4.75K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.44K |
| xiliang2025 | Yes | 333.25 |
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/turnout-in-texas-senate-republican-primary-runoff
| Yes |
| 285.24 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 139.99 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 108.88 |
| SomethingOld | Yes | 100.33 |
| fm14 | Yes | 100 |
| licensetofill | Yes | 70 |
| Neat-Robot | Yes | 29.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
