Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 62% and 64%?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$13.5K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 2, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 86%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 61 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 2 Feb 2026, the highest close was 42.5% on 23 Jan 2026 and the lowest 9% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 24.5% on 24 Jan 2026. $13.54K traded over the market's life.

31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 8:47 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 2 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
5 Dec 2025	18.5%
2 Feb 2026	14.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	18.83K
Tender-Law	Yes	5K
gopfan2	Yes	3.67K

10 of 31 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The first round of the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first-round turnout percentage in the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election, calculated as the total number of votes received (“votos recibidos”) divided by the total electorate (“electorado”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Costa Rica Tribunal Supremo de Elecciones (https://www.tse.go.cr/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.