Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 8% on 21 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 193 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2024 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 8% on 21 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 24 Jun 2025. $65.48K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 193 points, 21 Dec 2024 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2024 | 8.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crafty-Version | Yes | 250 |
| Dolev1303 | Yes | 200 |
| Ogdemon | Yes | 185.5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkey formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to the United States government by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Turkey's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Turkey must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the Turkish government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-turkey-leave-nato-by-june-30
| ElbowNuts | Yes | 142.86 |
| Speccy1234 | Yes | 142.86 |
| Nourqln | Yes | 142.86 |
| Silver Scout 650E | Yes | 110 |
| Ladysolsol | Yes | 100.6 |
| Fvberkel | Yes | 100 |
| martigenCZ | Yes | 71.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
