
Resolved Yes on 15 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 73%. Yes opened at 28% on 22 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 22 Nov 2025 to 15 Dec 2025, the highest close was 82.5% on 4 Dec 2025 and the lowest 27.5% on 23 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 82.5% on 4 Dec 2025. $11.42K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 23, 9:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 22 Nov 2025 – 15 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | 28.0% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | 73.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 870 |
| Gausslois | No | 800 |
| Hexadecimal | No | 480 |
| Novel-Oat | No | 277.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-tsla-hit-before-2026
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| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 155 |