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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.54 | $0.220 | $9.14 | Dec 16, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 6.31 |
| $0.140 |
| $0.88 |
| Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425–450 in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025?No | buy | 9.3 | $0.610 | $5.67 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??No | buy | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??No | buy | 50 | $0.520 | $26 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??No | buy | 38.3 | $0.510 | $19.53 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 236.16 | $0.994 | $234.74 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 160.69 | $0.993 | $159.57 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??No | buy | 15 | $0.750 | $11.25 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $475 before 2026??No | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??No | buy | 15 | $0.860 | $12.9 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 97.17 | $0.987 | $95.91 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 162.79 | $0.992 | $161.49 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $375 before 2026??Yes | buy | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 68.73 | $0.230 | $15.78 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.135 | $13.5 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 18.98 | $0.134 | $2.54 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.236 | $2.31 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.234 | $2.34 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?No | buy | 66.87 | $0.500 | $33.43 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.750 | $4.5 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?No | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?No | buy | 30 | $0.580 | $17.4 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call?No | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA say "Tariff" during earnings call?No | buy | 24 | $0.540 | $12.96 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA say "Tariff" during earnings call?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.540 | $6.28 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA say "Tariff" during earnings call?No | buy | 6 | $0.530 | $3.18 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA say "Tariff" during earnings call?No | buy | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 19?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 88.8 | $0.930 | $82.58 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?100k | buy | 29.63 | $0.607 | $18 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 162.79 | $0.860 | $140 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.750 | $250 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 610.17 | $0.590 | $360 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April?No | buy | 505 | $0.410 | $207.05 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90k in April?No | buy | 731.71 | $0.410 | $300 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?$80k | buy | 216.46 | $0.867 | $187.69 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on April 4?Yes | buy | 51.81 | $0.386 | $20 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on April 4?Yes | sell | 198.74 | $0.035 | $6.96 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on April 4?Yes | sell | 39.02 | $0.450 | $17.56 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on April 4?Yes | sell | 78.05 | $0.455 | $35.5 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on April 4?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.500 | $60 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on April 4?Yes | sell | 92.03 | $0.400 | $36.81 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 46.0% on April 4?Yes | buy | 220.88 | $0.091 | $20 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on April 4?Yes | sell | 0.93 | $0.750 | $0.7 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on April 4?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.020 | $0.62 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.5% and 47.9% on April 4?Yes | sell | 259.9 | $0.002 | $0.62 | Apr 3, 2025 |