Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 14 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 14 Jul 2026 to 17 Jul 2026, the highest close was 3% on 16 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 17 Jul 2026. $10.28K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 1:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 14 Jul 2026 – 17 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 | 2.5% |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Polly67 | Yes | 1.25K |
| 881112 | Yes | 1.09K |
| Swift Atlas 45FA | Yes | 747.75 |
| Colorful-Humanity | Yes | 514.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9 PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "Speech to the Nation" scheduled for 9 PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-the-speech-to-the-nation-20260713200621418
| Simplistic-Casement | Yes | 136.11 |
| Bocas | Yes | 111.11 |
| Quintessential-Congo | Yes | 108.5 |
| Un5Dog | Yes | 100 |
| acc32 | Yes | 58.82 |
| MrSolana | Yes | 50 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
