Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.4%. Yes opened at 43% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.6% on 24 Apr 2026 and the low 14% on 21 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 56 points up, to 70.5% on 22 Apr 2026. $6.77K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 1:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 25 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 43.0% |
| 25 Apr 2026 | 97.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cantchange | No | 263.16 |
| TheNoobBeaver | No | 249.34 |
| Colala | No | 30.78 |
| Lavincey | No | 30 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 18 |
| wwder | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Garfield47 | No | 1.54 |
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 0.01 |
| wataxut | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-low-will-trumps-approval-rating-go-in-april
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