Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 27 Jul 2026, the highest close was 42.5% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 0.1% on 27 Jul 2026. $2.99K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 27, 5:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 27 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 42.5% |
| 27 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 272.97 |
| Prize-Jar | Yes | 224.83 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 125 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 24, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-july-24-20260717160244931
| monoclith | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 6.1 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 0.01 |
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