Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.1%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 12 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 113 daily closes on record from 12 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 98.1% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 12% on 18 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 75 points up, to 90% on 31 Dec 2025. $64.91K traded over the market's life.
102 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 113 points, 12 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2025 | 29.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 98.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 33.01K |
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 937.68 |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on December 31, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-december-31
| No |
| 339 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 246 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 160 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 135 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 134 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 103 |
| lissartter | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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