Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Nov 21, 2024
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
100.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
17
Wallets
17
Top 10 share
99%
Yes / No shares
66.24 / 7.03K
Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
500
Wallets
311
Loaded notional
PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Nov 20, 12:00 AM
Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.
Bucket
Close
Mid
Spread
Volume
Trades
Nov 20, 12:00 AM
99.3%
99.3%
Nov 19, 12:00 AM
99.8%
99.8%
Nov 18, 12:00 AM
99.4%
99.4%
Questions
Questions about this market
What is the “Will Trump win Florida by 12+ points?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Trump win Florida by 12+ points? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 5, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes” if Donald Trump wins the popular vote in Florida in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 12.0% or more when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($696K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$134.84K
Yes buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Nov 20, 12:00 AM
Points
27
Move
+83 pts
Range
15.5% - 99.8%
Oct 25, 12:00 AM to Nov 20, 12:00 AM
Nov 17, 12:00 AM
99.4%
99.4%
Nov 16, 12:00 AM
99.3%
99.3%
Nov 15, 12:00 AM
99.7%
99.7%
Nov 14, 12:00 AM
99.3%
99.3%
Nov 13, 12:00 AM
99.1%
99.1%
Nov 12, 12:00 AM
99.2%
99.2%
Nov 11, 12:00 AM
99.1%
99.1%
Nov 10, 12:00 AM
98.9%
98.9%
Nov 9, 12:00 AM
98.9%
98.9%
Nov 8, 12:00 AM
98.7%
98.7%
Nov 7, 12:00 AM
98.0%
98.0%
Nov 6, 12:00 AM
27.5%
27.5%
Nov 5, 12:00 AM
15.5%
15.5%
Nov 4, 12:00 AM
18.5%
18.5%
Nov 3, 12:00 AM
19.0%
19.0%
Nov 2, 12:00 AM
23.5%
23.5%
Nov 1, 12:00 AM
24.5%
24.5%
Oct 31, 12:00 AM
31.5%
31.5%
Oct 30, 12:00 AM
30.5%
30.5%
Oct 29, 12:00 AM
34.0%
34.0%
Oct 28, 12:00 AM
33.5%
33.5%
Oct 27, 12:00 AM
31.5%
31.5%
Oct 26, 12:00 AM
24.5%
24.5%
Oct 25, 12:00 AM
16.5%
16.5%
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 17 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 98.6% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 21, 1:06 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-win-florida-by-12-points) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
