Will Trump tweet on inauguration day?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$46.6K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 20, 2025 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 20 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90.5%. Yes opened at 75.5% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2025 to 20 Jan 2025, the highest close was 90.5% on 20 Jan 2025 and the lowest 75.5% on 10 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 87.5% on 11 Jan 2025. $46.64K traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 5:51 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 10 Jan 2025 – 20 Jan 2025, chart shows 70%–95%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Jan 2025	75.5%
20 Jan 2025	90.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
RememberAmalek	No	4.81K
Full-Fairness	No	2.79K
pythagoras0x	No	1K
fAKER	No	25

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump post on X on January 20, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply tweets count toward a "Yes" resolution, but retweets will not count. The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump. Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.