Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 81 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 16.1% on 13 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 16.1% on 13 Jan 2026. $168.81K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 12:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 29 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 3.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| b00ster | Yes | 556 |
| Light-Scam | Yes | 539.69 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, his administration (including any executive branch department, agency, or office), or the United States federal government files a lawsuit against Jerome Powell, in his personal or official capacity, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The lawsuit must be filed in a U.S. federal or state court and must name Jerome Powell as a defendant. An announcement of a lawsuit will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant U.S. federal court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-sue-powell-by-march-31
| Yes |
| 300 |
| Winding-Engine | Yes | 250 |
| zhouzhouking | Yes | 194.38 |
| Likely-Browsing | Yes | 115.88 |
| Cronio | Yes | 108.8 |
| Donju777 | Yes | 100.54 |
| keelova | Yes | 100.51 |
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