Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 20% on 4 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 57 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 1 Apr 2026, the highest close was 25.5% on 6 Feb 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 6.3% on 16 Mar 2026. $3.01K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 8:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 1 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 20.0% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 1.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WhateverTrevor | Yes | 200 |
| asfdt22 | Yes | 30 |
| Magyar | No | 25.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Michael Wolff by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-sue-michael-wolff-by-march-31
| Yes |
| 7.69 |
| 5urfer | Yes | 7.64 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 4.99 |
| rikitikitaki | Yes | 4.97 |
| Mitch0707 | Yes | 3.45 |
| ACara | Yes | 1.07 |
| Mufasa33 | No | 0.01 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
