Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 18% on 25 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2025 to 27 Oct 2025, the highest close was 18% on 25 Oct 2025 and the lowest 1.6% on 27 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 1.6% on 27 Oct 2025. $50.93K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 4:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Oct 2025 – 27 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | 18.0% |
| 27 Oct 2025 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NAA | Yes | 1.05K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 332 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 332 |
| Dannyzz | Yes | 82.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on whether the US armed forces conduct a strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target in the Western hemisphere on a given date in ET. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-strikes-another-drug-boat-on
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 69 |
| lissartter | Yes | 66.41 |
| Htizzle | Yes | 50 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 28 |
| jgmur | Yes | 26.32 |
| painmancer | Yes | 20 |
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