Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2026 to 24 Jan 2026, the highest close was 55.5% on 22 Jan 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 24 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 5.5% on 23 Jan 2026. $23.76K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 25, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 24 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Jan 2026 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LuckyJewel | Yes | 1.3K |
| Whoknows011 | Yes | 1.08K |
| Ceiimoney | Yes | 991.51 |
| Visible-Recess | Yes | 429.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The World Economic Forum takes place in Davos, Switzerland from January 19 - January 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the named individuals who shake Trump's hand between market creation and January 23, 2026, 11:59PM ET in Davos, Switzerland. Any handshakes which take place in locations other than Davos, Switzerland will not qualify towards the resolution of this market. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake that is too unclear to measure. The resolution source will be photo or video.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-shake-hands-with-at-davos
| S888 | Yes | 425.5 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 386 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 348 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 225 |
| Numb-Fishmonger | Yes | 166.67 |
| UruguayPadre | Yes | 163.82 |
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