Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 16 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 16 May 2025 to 17 May 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 17 May 2025 and the lowest 62.5% on 16 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 99.6% on 17 May 2025. $2.97K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 May 2025 – 17 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2025 | 62.5% |
| 17 May 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fabman | No | 6.25 |
| milize | No | 0.01 |
| Barnacle24 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
An interview of Donald Trump by Bret Baier is scheduled to air on May 16. You can read more about that here: https://www.foxnews.com/media/fox-news-channel-air-special-editions-special-report-hannity-live-from-middle-east This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this interview is definitively cancelled by Donald Trump or Fox, or otherwise is not released by May 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the interview has not aired in its entirety by May 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. The resolution source will be audio/video of the interview.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-baier-interview-on-may-16
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