Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had No at 48%. Yes was at 75% at 23 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 23 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 75% on 23 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC and the lowest 52% on 23 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. $337.93 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 10:26 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 23 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 23 Oct, 18:00 UTC, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 75.0% |
| 23 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 52.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Fort Myers, Florida on October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-fort-myers-fl-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Florida on October 23, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-florida-october-23
| No |
| 10.21 |
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