
Resolved No on 7 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2025 to 7 Nov 2025, the highest close was 50% on 4 Nov 2025 and the lowest 6% on 7 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 6% on 7 Nov 2025. $7.23K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 8, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 4 Nov 2025 – 7 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 7 Nov 2025 | 6.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cagie | Yes | 212.29 |
| neandertal | Yes | 121.21 |
| lissartter | Yes | 97.36 |
| Silver Sphinx E4EA | Yes | 67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the C5+1 Summit on November 6, 2025 (see https://thediplomat.com/2025/10/washington-to-host-central-asian-leaders-on-november-6). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified C5+1 Summit events ("The President participates in Multilateral Meetings with Central Asian Countries" and "The President Participates in a Dinner with Central Asian Countries") on November 6, 2025. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Trump's appearances at the "The President participates in Multilateral Meetings with Central Asian Countries" and "The President Participates in a Dinner with Central Asian Countries" events (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the specifically listed events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain Q&As, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or relevant footage is otherwise not aired by November 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official video of the events (e.g., https://www.youtube.com/@WhiteHouse) and one of the following sources or their sister divisions/subsidiaries/affiliates/partner networks: AP, Forbes, Fox, RSBN, CNN, MSNBC, Reuters. Only footage from the listed source(s) will qualify.
| Ideal-Response | Yes | 43.32 |
| JimmySchnitzel | Yes | 39.64 |
| enokian | Yes | 36.29 |
| Zudi | Yes | 31.76 |
| Schpex | Yes | 30 |
| RussianWigger | Yes | 30 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-c51-summit-on-november-6
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