Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 28 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 60.5% on 29 Aug 2026 and the low 10.5% on 29 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 24% on 2 Sep 2026. $1.04K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 7:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 28 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026 | 47.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 11.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Olcan | Yes | 330 |
| Quarrelsome-Branch | Yes | 85 |
| balabalababalabala | Yes | 55 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| EliteBetter | Yes | 20 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 12.55 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |
| SubZero2026 | Yes | 3.45 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-september-2026
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