Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 50% on 12 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 14 Jul 2026 and the low 2% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 10.5% on 18 Jul 2026. $2.05K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 6:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 12 Jul 2026 – 20 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leinaddd | Yes | 147.06 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Rotten-Earrings | Yes | 14 |
| keynesian.multiplier | Yes | 10 |
| qwerasdfyxcv | Yes | 5.32 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| meow-123 | Yes | 3.52 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-july-13-july-19-20260710153927788
New to prediction markets?
