Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 65%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2025 to 15 Jul 2025, the highest close was 47.5% on 12 Jul 2025 and the lowest 25% on 14 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 27.5% on 13 Jul 2025. $8.02K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 12:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Jul 2025 – 15 Jul 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | 47.5% |
| 15 Jul 2025 | 35.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fumeurdherb | Yes | 500 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 75 |
| spacerr | Yes | 68.58 |
| DeltaMu | Yes | 42.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is expected to deliver a speech at the Energy and Innovation Summit scheduled for July 15 at the Carnegie Mellon campus. You can read more about that here: https://www.cmu.edu/student-affairs/messages-from-the-dean/pa-energy-and-innovation-summit.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's scheduled main appearance at the "Energy and Innovation Summit" event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 15 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HITqDHaev9Y
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-at-the-energy-and-innovation-summit-on-july-15
| Vorel | Yes | 35.71 |
| Leeio | Yes | 23.81 |
| PolyTraders | Yes | 20.3 |
| polymark | Yes | 12.5 |
| RiftGenerator | Yes | 10.71 |
| TheSwish | Yes | 10.01 |
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