Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 25 Jul 2026, the highest close was 51% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 33% on 19 Jul 2026. $2.39K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 4:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 51.0% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ZhengYing333 | Yes | 199 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 95.13 |
| Quintessential-Composer | Yes | 80.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026 (https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "White House Correspondents Dinner" scheduled for July 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-the-white-house-correspondents-dinner-20260715212255806
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| hao333 | Yes | 50 |
| pikanou | Yes | 16 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| iosuromero | Yes | 7.89 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 7.52 |
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