Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 12 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2025 to 15 Oct 2025, the highest close was 62.5% on 12 Oct 2025 and the lowest 1.4% on 15 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 4% on 14 Oct 2025. $11.26K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 8:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 12 Oct 2025 – 15 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2025 | 62.5% |
| 15 Oct 2025 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bacsekpapa | Yes | 620 |
| CuteSteven | Yes | 280 |
| Grand-Ashram | Yes | 242.86 |
| Elieb | Yes | 221.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to host at a summit of world leaders on Gaza on October 13, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.axios.com/2025/10/10/trump-gaza-summit-egypt-world-leaders This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Trump's scheduled appearance at the multilateral signing event in the Sharm El Sheikh International Convention Center in Egypt at the listed summit. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If the appearance has not aired in its entirety by October 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no appearance is aired by this time, or if it is otherwise definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-gaza-summit-in-egypt
| ad5rhg4 | Yes | 206.41 |
| Decntrl | Yes | 111.11 |
| SneakySquids | Yes | 105.78 |
| Square-Dugout | Yes | 103.09 |
| scherlockhomes | Yes | 100 |
| Finalyty | Yes | 97 |
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