Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 15 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2024 to 16 Aug 2024, the highest close was 9.5% on 15 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.4 points down, to 0.1% on 16 Aug 2024. $75.92K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 16, 11:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 Aug 2024 – 16 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2024 | 9.5% |
| 16 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Humiliating-Stump | Yes | 555.56 |
| JohnLawrence | Yes | 230.05 |
| Parfume | Yes | 154.27 |
| Traderspot30 | Yes | 90.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "lisp", during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "lisp",is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a speech impediment. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-thursday-press-conference
| Full-Magnitude | Yes | 0.1 |
| daroghi | No | 0.03 |
| CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Yes | 0.02 |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 0.01 |
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