Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 7 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 7 Apr 2026 to 9 Apr 2026, the highest close was 44% on 8 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 9 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 0.6% on 9 Apr 2026. $4.88K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 10, 5:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 7 Apr 2026 – 9 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Apr 2026 | 39.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Beefalot | Yes | 557.56 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| bibizana | Yes | 35.26 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a meeting with Mark Rutte on April 8, 2026 (see https://www.politico.com/news/2026/04/03/nato-mark-rutte-donald-trump-meeting-00858701). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Mark Rutte on April 8, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Mark Rutte on April 8, 2026. All such events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-mark-rutte
| BurningNation11 | Yes | 1.82 |
| datasurfer | No | 0.03 |
| Mojito9 | No | 0.02 |
| badatthis | Yes | 0.02 |
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