Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 40.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 13 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 13 Jun 2025 to 15 Jun 2025, the highest close was 69.5% on 14 Jun 2025 and the lowest 45.5% on 13 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 69.5% on 14 Jun 2025. $36.87K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 Jun 2025 – 15 Jun 2025, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2025 | 45.5% |
| 15 Jun 2025 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Onoon10 | Yes | 2.71K |
| Crimson Vector 0A5F | Yes | 885 |
| YarekB | Yes | 311.64 |
| Dilkie | Yes | 192.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a 250th Army Anniversary celebration on June 14. You can read more about that here: https://america250.org/news/the-united-states-of-america-to-honor-the-250th-anniversary-of-the-u-s-army-with-a-grand-military-parade-and-celebration-in-washington-d-c/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his main speech at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the main speech that Trump gives in the listed Anniversary event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If Trump does not give a speech at this event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by June 14 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HEq8_ZZfhRg
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-250th-army-anniversary-remarks-on-june-14
| insiderlonga | Yes | 140 |
| Peteris | Yes | 110.53 |
| Golden Raven D13D | Yes | 105 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 50 |
| Rothchildeog | Yes | 39.23 |
| Narcoins | Yes | 14.87 |
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