Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 19 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 20 Oct 2026, the highest close was 54.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 46% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 46% on 20 Oct 2026. $3.85K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 2:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 54.5% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 46.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jesuslovesy0u | Yes | 236.43 |
| Quarrelsome-Branch | Yes | 130 |
| AllTheWhimsy | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Park City, Kansas on October 19, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-park-city-kansas-president-donald-j-trump-ks) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Kansas on October 19, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-kansas-october-19
| Yes |
| 100 |
| PouringRain | Yes | 100 |
| Dondigidin | Yes | 97.5 |
| aerotynecapital | Yes | 85.99 |
| PPMT | Yes | 60.05 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| a5533 | Yes | 19.99 |
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