Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 56.5%. Yes opened at 63% on 19 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2025 to 23 Jul 2025, the highest close was 63% on 19 Jul 2025 and the lowest 56.5% on 22 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 57.5% on 21 Jul 2025. $18.58K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 25, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 19 Jul 2025 – 23 Jul 2025, chart shows 50%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2025 | 63.0% |
| 23 Jul 2025 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Oracle CE16 | No | 1K |
| Crimson Pioneer C1C6 | No | 1K |
| ScopeX | No | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 669 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech about Artificial Intelligence on July 23 (see https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-15/trump-set-to-outline-ai-priorities-in-speech-asserting-us-edge). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event about AI. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-ai-speech-on-july-23
| Cosmic Kestrel E47A | No | 530 |
| Jade Oracle CF48 | No | 465 |
| Neon Meteor 0008 | No | 455 |
| Lunar Vector F4C5 | No | 340 |
| Skankfest | No | 222.17 |
| hrant111 | No | 200 |
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