Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 67.48 | $0.063 | $4.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 465.12 |
| $0.009 |
| $4.25 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran strike on US military by February 28?No | buy | 465.12 | $0.860 | $400 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 194.26 | $0.860 | $167.06 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No | buy | 316.29 | $0.824 | $260.57 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 789.07 | $0.620 | $489.22 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 978.44 | $0.500 | $489.22 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 978.44 | $0.510 | $499 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | sell | 2.19K | $0.422 | $924.87 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.545 | $657.66 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.519 | $62.3 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 613 | $0.470 | $288.11 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | sell | 1.27K | $0.910 | $1.15K | Oct 25, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 738.45 | $0.560 | $413.53 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?No | sell | 459.48 | $0.900 | $413.53 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 160.33 | $0.035 | $5.61 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 1.27K | $0.786 | $995.8 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.607 | $754.29 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on September 19?Yes | buy | 69.14 | $0.040 | $2.77 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?No | buy | 459.48 | $0.764 | $351.04 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | sell | 402.05 | $0.870 | $349.78 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | buy | 402.05 | $0.770 | $309.58 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Portugal win on 2025-09-06?Yes | buy | 313.6 | $0.900 | $282.24 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend the US Open Finals?No | buy | 47.15 | $0.060 | $2.83 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?No | buy | 201 | $0.900 | $180.9 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign today?No | buy | 256.84 | $0.993 | $255.04 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 473.64 | $0.679 | $321.84 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?No | sell | 359.64 | $0.892 | $320.95 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 540.2 | $0.679 | $366.88 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by August 31?No | sell | 375.99 | $0.988 | $371.5 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 238.24 | $0.665 | $158.39 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Damascus by August 31?No | buy | 110 | $0.942 | $103.61 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 333 | $0.629 | $209.59 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by September 30?No | buy | 320.57 | $0.616 | $197.35 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.63K | $0.274 | $719.16 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?No | buy | 359.64 | $0.903 | $324.75 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?No | buy | 138.54 | $0.920 | $127.46 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 297.8 | $0.940 | $279.93 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 828.01 | $0.735 | $608.57 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.720 | $9.36 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 400.1 | $0.725 | $290.07 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.868 | $1.56K | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?No | buy | 243.24 | $0.865 | $210.36 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?No | buy | 95.78 | $0.862 | $82.56 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by August 31?No | sell | 2.95K | $0.910 | $2.69K | Aug 17, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by August 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 3.05K | $0.950 | $2.9K | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 400 | $0.723 | $289.33 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?No | buy | 80.89 | $0.710 | $57.43 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Zelensky" during conference with Putin on August 15?No | buy | 307.91 | $0.090 | $27.71 | Aug 15, 2025 |